AFL Round 6 Predictions

🏟️ Collingwood vs. Brisbane Lions

• Historical edge: Brisbane have won 64.3% of past matchups.
• Form & Injury:
  • Collingwood get Jordan De Goey back but lack depth with Membrey out.
  • Brisbane in solid form, with no major outs.
• Verdict: Brisbane Lions by 10 points — strong recent form and better historical performance.

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🏟️ Carlton vs. North Melbourne

• Historical edge: Fairly even — Carlton won 45.5% of past clashes.
• Form & Injury:
  • Carlton missing McKay and Kemp.
  • North welcome back Ford but still undermanned.
• Verdict: Carlton by 15 points — home advantage tips the balance despite injuries.

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🏟️ Essendon vs. West Coast Eagles

• Historical edge: West Coast dominant, but only 27.3% home wins for Essendon.
• Form & Injury:
  • Essendon form solid; Peter Wright likely returns.
  • West Coast missing key talls like McGovern.
• Verdict: Essendon by 30 points — even with poor history, form is overwhelmingly in Essendon’s favor.

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🏟️ Fremantle vs. Melbourne

• Historical edge: Melbourne dominant — only 18.2% home wins for Fremantle.
• Form & Injury:
  • Melbourne likely to regain Steven May.
  • Fremantle missing Walters and struggling against top teams.
• Verdict: Melbourne by 18 points — historical and defensive structure favors the Dees.

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🏟️ GWS Giants vs. Adelaide Crows

• Historical edge: Only one prior meeting; GWS lost at home.
• Form & Injury:
  • GWS bringing back Coniglio and Daniels.
  • Adelaide may miss Rachele, but form improving.
• Verdict: GWS by 6 points — boost from returning stars and home advantage.

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🏟️ Gold Coast SUNS vs. Richmond

• Historical edge: Insufficient data from your dataset, but Gold Coast typically struggle against Richmond.
• Form & Injury:
  • Gold Coast on a 4-game streak; Budarick returns.
  • Richmond without Prestia, possible Balta return.
• Verdict: Gold Coast by 24 points — momentum and home turf could flip the narrative.

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🏟️ Port Adelaide vs. Sydney Swans

• Historical edge: [Not yet extracted — likely close historically]
• Form & Injury:
  • Port at home, Byrne-Jones returns.
  • Swans missing Gulden and Papley.
• Verdict: Port Adelaide by 14 points — key Swans outs swing this to the Power.

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🏟️ St Kilda vs. Western Bulldogs

• Historical edge: [To be confirmed, but Bulldogs typically competitive here]
• Form & Injury:
  • Saints without Max King.
  • Bulldogs may regain Bontempelli.
• Verdict: Western Bulldogs by 12 points — class depth and likely return of Bont is big.

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🏟️ Hawthorn vs. Geelong Cats

• Historical edge: Geelong has the modern era advantage.
• Form & Injury:
  • Hawthorn undermanned, Mitch Lewis out.
  • Geelong brings back Tom Stewart.
• Verdict: Geelong Cats by 26 points — class and depth far superior right now.